It should be an interesting first weekend for the 2009 NFL Playoffs. Of the four games being played this weekend, three of them feature teams that played each other in Week 17 of the NFL season. I have been a fan for over 30 years, and I can never remember anything like that happening. Sheer coincidence, for sure, but it makes for some interesting matchups, nonetheless.
NFC:
Green Bay at Arizona - right now the Packers are probably the hottest team in the NFC. After all, they ended the season on a 7-1 roll after starting out 4-4. Arizona, after beating up on the Vikings, has been on somewhat of a slide, and injuries are piling up for them. Anquan Boldin, Dominique Rodgers-Cromartie, Antrel Rolle and Calais Campbell are all hurt. This game is in Arizona, however, and when the Cardinals are playing at home anything can happen. They are 4-4 at home, but 6-2 on the road. In the Week 17 contest, Green Bay won 33-7, with the Cardinals resting a majority of their starters. However, the Packers are the better team, even though the Cardinals (4) are seeded higher than the Packers (5). Their offense is playing much better, and the defense seems to have bought into Defensive Coordinator Dom Capers' 3-4 scheme.
Prediction: Packers 34, Cardinals 24
Philadelphia at Dallas - here is a matchup that should make for an exciting game. Arguably, the Cowboys have the hottest QB in the league in Tony Romo - when was the last time a QB threw for 300 yds. twice in one season against the Eagles? The Eagles have some problems on defense, and Brian Westbrook just returned from injury, so Donovan McNabb is going to have to do a big share of the work. However, he has DeSean Jackson to throw to, so things aren't ALL bad. In the Week 17 game, at Dallas (which the Cowboys won 17-0), both teams were playing for the division title, and the Eagles had a shot at the No. 2 seed. So what happened? Philly came out and laid a complete egg. The Cowboys offense is 2nd in the league in total yards per game (399.4), and the Eagles' defense is 12th in total yds. given up (321.12) and 19th in total pts. per game given up (21.1). I see this as a high-scoring game. Both QBs are going to give it all they got, and the Cowboys win in a shootout
Prediction: Cowboys 38, Eagles 32
AFC:
New York Jets at Cincinnati - this game is a tough one to predict - the Jets are a hot team (winning 5 out of their last 6 games), and the Bengals have gone flat since midseason. What was working before for the Bengals (run, run and run some more) has stopped working, and they've had to rely more and more on their practically non-existent passing game. Since beating Detroit on Dec. 6th, Cincinnati has gone 1-3, beating only the weak Kansas City Chiefs, and then only 17-10. They have 8 players on injured reserve, and playing on the memory of Chris Henry can only take them so far. The Jets are a run-first team (No. 1 in the league in rushing yds. per game at 172.3), and their defense is solid if not spectacular (No. 1 in three categories: total yds. per game at 252.3, total passing yds. per game at 153.7 and total pts. per game at 14.8). In the Week 17 game, Cincinnati rested most of their starters in a game the Jets HAD to win (and did 37-0) to make the playoffs. I see the Jets continuing their winning ways, IN SPITE of rookie QB Mark "The Sanchize" Sanchez.
Prediction: Jets 24, Bengals 17
Baltimore at New England - this game is the most interesting of all. The Patriots just lost their inspirational leader (WR Wes Welker) for the rest of the season, and are going to have to lean on Randy Moss even more to carry the receiving load. As any Vikings fan will tell you, if Moss isn't involved in the offense, he tends to become disinterested. So, that bodes well for the Patriots. Their running game is becoming a who's who of the geriatric scene, with Fred Taylor and Kevin Faulk both 33 and Sammy Morris 32. Ageless LB Junior Seau is still playing at 40, too. The Ravens are a young team, and have had a ton of injuries over the past month. RB Ray Rice and RB Willis McGahee are the best 1-2 touchdown-machine tandem in the league (14 for McGahee, 8 for Rice - I had Rice on two of my Fantasy Football teams), and 2nd-year QB Joe Flacco is one year wiser and one year better. Of course, the Patriots have Tom Brady, and they're at home. This one will be a well-fought close game. In a slight upset, the Ravens move on, the Patriots stay home.
Prediction: Ravens 31, Patriots 23